Anderson Henrique
PT
Anderson Henrique

Anderson Henrique

I study how the Brazilian state responds to the unforeseen: federalism, state capacity and the politics of emergency intergovernmental transfers.

Welcome. Here you will find my research, publications, CV, replication data and teaching materials.

acR package on CRAN

Content analysis package for R (qualitative with LLMs + quantitative) now available on CRAN.
Package site ↗

Published chapter, Routledge

With Mariana Batista: chapter on Punctuated Equilibrium in Policy Process Frameworks in Practice.
See details →

Published article, RBCS

With Mariana Batista and Lucas Porto: reelection and the promotion of state capacities in Brazilian municipalities.
See details →

Government plans and disasters, 2026

I analyzed the government plans of the 172 candidates for governor: 74.4% mention risk or disaster, only 2.3% link it to concrete metrics.
See report ↗

About

I am a political scientist, holding a Ph.D. from the Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE, 2025), and currently a postdoctoral research fellow at the Center for the Study of the Metropolis (CEM), FAPESP/Cepid/USP, supervised by Prof. Ursula Peres (EACH/USP). I am also a member of the National Institute of Science and Technology on Quality of Government and Policies for Sustainable Development (INCT-QualiGov) and an invited researcher at the Institute for Applied Economic Research (IPEA, Brasília), in the project Intergovernmental Transfers and Brazilian Federalism.

My work investigates how the Brazilian state responds to the unforeseen: in particular, who receives federal emergency resources, when, and why. I use this question as a thread to examine federalism, state capacity and the politics of intergovernmental transfers at the municipal level, combining quantitative designs with qualitative evidence. I also write on public policy (implementation and evaluation) and on replicability and research methods in Political Science.

Before my postdoctoral fellowship, I was a substitute professor of Political Science at the Federal University of the São Francisco Valley (UNIVASF, 2022–2024) and a collaborating professor in the Professional Master in Sociology in National Network (ProfSocio/UNIVASF, 2023–2025). My training includes an M.A. and B.A. at UFPE, an exchange program in International Relations at the University of Coimbra (2016), and courses in Survey Data Analysis at the University of Essex (2019) and Research Transparency and Reproducibility at UC Berkeley (2024).

Federalism State capacity Intergovernmental transfers Disaster risk management Public policy Quantitative methods

Latest updates, forthcoming publications and recent achievements.

Sep 2026
Book chapter Chapter published: Disaster risk management in Brazil: an overview of the national academic literature.
In Governar na crise: política e políticas públicas na pandemia, edited by Vanessa Elias de Oliveira and Adriano Codato (1st ed., Porto Alegre: Zouk, 2026).
Sep 2026
Research note How do gubernatorial candidates address risk and disaster in their 2026 government plans?
I analyzed the government plans of the 172 candidates for governor with a registered plan in Brazil's 2026 elections. 74.4% mention risk or disaster at some point, but only 2.3% link those mentions to concrete goals or metrics. The methodology combines a term dictionary with local language models (gpt-oss-20b and gemma-4-26b, via LM Studio) and text rules, with manual validation of high-confidence passages and inter-model reliability testing (Krippendorff's alpha), using the acR package. Repository ↗ · Full report ↗ · Executive summary ↗
Aug 2026
Software acR package published on CRAN.
acR: Content Analysis in R (v0.3.2) is now officially available on CRAN — an integrated content analysis pipeline combining LLM-assisted qualitative coding with classical quantitative text analysis, with particular attention to Portuguese-language corpora and political-institutional codebooks. It includes preprocessing, descriptive statistics, keyness analysis, network visualization, word clouds, sentiment analysis (OpLexicon), topic modeling (LDA), and inter-coder reliability. Package site ↗ · CRAN ↗ · Source code ↗
Sep 2026
Published Book published: Policy Process Frameworks in Practice (Routledge).
With Mariana Batista: chapter Nuts and Bolts of Punctuated Equilibrium: Theory, Methods, and Applications in Brazil (pp. 59–91), in the volume edited by Natália Sátyro, André Marenco and Mariana Batista, published on September 9, 2026. See at Taylor & Francis ↗
Sep 2026
Teaching I taught the workshop Introduction to Generative AI in the Social Sciences, at CEM/USP.
A two-day workshop on responsible use of generative AI in research, teaching, and academic writing. All materials are open in the course repository, including the Survival Manual: a pocket guide with a glossary, criteria for choosing (or avoiding) AI tools, ~29 ready-to-use prompt templates, an AI usage declaration model for manuscripts, and a decision-log template to document the process rather than just disclosing it after the fact. See repository ↗ · Survival Manual ↗
Aug 2026
Published Article published in Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais.
Batista, M.; Henrique, A.; Porto, L. Investment or learning? Reelection incentives and the promotion of state capacities in Brazilian municipalities. RBCS, v. 41, e026, 2026. Read on SciELO ↗
Jul 2026
Workshop I will teach the Automated Text Analysis workshop at SICSS-Brazil 2026.
The session is part of the Summer Institute in Computational Social Science (SICSS-Brazil), hosted by FGV-Comunicação, running from July 30 to August 6, 2026, remotely. My workshop takes place on Wednesday, July 29, 10:15–12:00 and 13:30–15:00 (Brasília time). Full program at sicss.io/2026/brazil.
Jul 2026
Faculty exam Approved for a tenure-track position at UNIRIO.
3rd place overall and 1st in the PPPIQ vacancy of the public examination in Political Science, State and Government (with a focus on Research Design), Call 13/2026.
Jun 2026
Book chapter Two chapters published in Reformar o Estado: o que fazer? (Jacarta/ENAP).
Co-authored with Mariana Batista, Leonardo Porto and Pedro Palotti (chapter on state capacity) and with Luiz Antônio Soares (chapter on governance of the unforeseen).
May 2026
Forthcoming IPEA discussion paper accepted.
Palotti, P. L. M.; Linhares, P. T. F.; Henrique, A. Municipal state capacities and performance in managing federal intergovernmental transfers: lessons for Brazilian fiscal federalism.
Nov 2025
Postdoc Postdoctoral fellowship at CEM/USP begins, funded by FAPESP.
Project Between Alerts and Abandonment: Diagnosing Municipal Performance in Natural Disaster Risk Management in Brazilian Capitals (proc. 2025/15250-0), supervised by Ursula Peres (EACH/USP).
May 2025
Doctorate Ph.D. defended and recommended for award by the examining committee at PPGCP/UFPE.
Mission: Unforeseen — Governance, State Capacities and Municipal Performance in Disaster Risk Management in Brazil. Advised by Dalson Britto Figueiredo Filho. Read at RI/UFPE ↗

Current project: FAPESP

Between Alerts and Abandonment: Diagnosing Municipal Performance in Natural Disaster Risk Management in Brazilian Capitals. Proc. 2025/15250-0, developed at CEM/USP.

Research note: 2026 government plans

Analysis of risk and disaster mentions in the government plans of 172 gubernatorial candidates, using local LLMs and the acR package. 74.4% mention the topic; only 2.3% with metrics. Repository ↗

Doctoral dissertation

Mission: Unforeseen — Governance, State Capacities and Municipal Performance in Disaster Risk Management in Brazil. UFPE, 2025. Recommended for award by the committee. RI/UFPE ↗

Master's thesis

Natural disasters, federal emergency resources and municipal elections in Brazil (2012): evidence from a case study. UFPE, 2021. Advised by Gabriela Tarouco.

Research lines

Political institutions (federalism, local power, state capacity, executive–legislative relations); public policy (implementation, evaluation, budgeting); quantitative and qualitative research methods.

Groups and networks

CEM/USP · INCT-QualiGov · Institutions, Government and Public Policy (DCP/UFPE) · Polikt/UNIVASF · Local Crisis and Politics Consortium (UFABC/UFPR/UFPE) · REPSAL.

R package: acR

Content analysis in R, published on CRAN. Package site ↗ · CRAN ↗ · GitHub ↗

Forthcoming

  1. Palotti, P. L. M.; Linhares, P. T. F.; Henrique, A. Municipal state capacities and performance in managing federal intergovernmental transfers: lessons for Brazilian fiscal federalism. IPEA Discussion Paper. 2026. forthcoming

Book chapters

  1. Henrique, A. Disaster risk management in Brazil: an overview of the national academic literature. In: Oliveira, V. E.; Codato, A. (Eds.), Governar na crise: política e políticas públicas na pandemia. 1st ed. Porto Alegre: Zouk, 2026, pp. 29–52.
  2. Batista, M.; Henrique, A. Nuts and Bolts of Punctuated Equilibrium: Theory, Methods, and Applications in Brazil. In: Sátyro, N.; Marenco, A.; Batista, M. (Eds.), Policy Process Frameworks in Practice: Critical Analysis From Brazil and Latin America. Abingdon: Routledge, 2026, pp. 59–91. Taylor & Francis ↗
  3. Henrique, A.; Batista, M.; Porto, L.; Palotti, P. L. M. The State in numbers: building good indices and interpretations of state capacity. In: Gomide, A.; Marenco, A.; Oliveira, V. E. (Eds.), Reformar o Estado: o que fazer?. Porto Alegre: Jacarta/ENAP, 2026, pp. 224–238. RI/ENAP ↗
  4. Henrique, A.; Soares, L. A. C. Governance of the unforeseen: indicators, diagnostics and windows of opportunity in disaster risk management. In: Gomide, A.; Marenco, A.; Oliveira, V. E. (Eds.), Reformar o Estado: o que fazer?. Porto Alegre: Jacarta/ENAP, 2026, pp. 312–329. RI/ENAP ↗
  5. Henrique, A.; Braga, D. D. A. Programa Brasil Alfabetizado: an evaluation of the program theory. In: Nascimento, P.; Barros, A. T. D. L. (Eds.), Ciência Política: uma proposta educativa — Políticas públicas, v. 2. Campina Grande: Eduepb, 2023, pp. 139–159.
  6. Silva, A. H.; Batista, M. The politicization of natural disasters: partisan alignment and the allocation of federal emergency resources to Brazilian municipalities. In: IV Simpósio de Direito Eleitoral do Nordeste. Campina Grande: Abradep, 2022, pp. 417–446.

Journal articles

  1. Batista, M.; Henrique, A.; Porto, L. Investment or learning? Reelection incentives and the promotion of state capacities in Brazilian municipalities. Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais, 41, e026, 2026. SciELO ↗
  2. Henrique, A.; Batista, M. Politicization of natural disasters: partisan alignment, emergency declarations and the allocation of federal resources to Brazilian municipalities. Opinião Pública, 26, 522–555, 2020. SciELO ↗
  3. Ferreira, D. R. F.; Henrique, A.; Cavalcanti, D. B.; Melo, J. M. F. O. Municipal socio-pedagogical profile: a case study of teachers in Gravatá (PE). Revista de Administração Educacional, 11, 49–74, 2020.
  4. Barros, A. T.; Busanello, E.; Henrique, A.; Fernandes, A. A. T. Female political representation from the perspective of Brazilian women voters. Século XXI — Revista de Ciências Sociais, 10, 263–300, 2020.
  5. Assis, A. C. O.; Henrique, A.; Bittencourt, N. V.; Lima, K. G. C. Mapping attacks in cyberspace: descriptive analysis of main actors and trends (2006–2019). Política Hoje, 29, 212–234, 2020.
  6. Henrique, A.; Braga, D. D. A. Programa Brasil Alfabetizado: an evaluation of the program theory. Espaço Público, 9, 10–29, 2019. Periódicos UFPE ↗
  7. Henrique, A. Macroeconomic perception, happiness and ideology: a case study of Brazil (2010–2016). Revista Eletrônica de Ciência Política — RECP, 11, 132–153, 2019. RECP ↗
  8. Ferreira, D. R. F.; Henrique, A. The map of public-private partnerships in sanitation in Brazil: a comparative analysis (2006–2017). Polis (Santiago), 17, 275–293, 2018. OpenEdition ↗
  9. Henrique, A.; Fernandes, A. A. T.; Nascimento, W. S. Inequality, human development and corruption in Brazilian states. Em Tese (Florianópolis), 13, 167–188, 2016. Text ↗
  10. Silva, L. E. O.; Torres, M. V. S.; Henrique, A.; Stainer, A. Q. Democracies and environmental waves: evidence from an empirical study. Teoria & Sociedade (UFMG), 24, 25–42, 2016.
  11. Dofonnou, N. B.; Henrique, A.; Stainer, A. Q. Agreements signed on the African continent and their relation to regional integration processes: the case of the African Union. Política Hoje, 25, 133–159, 2016.
  12. Figueiredo Filho, D. B.; Rocha, E. C.; Paranhos, R.; Silva Jr., J. A.; Henrique, A.; Silva, D. P. A.; Silva, L. E. O. Guaranteed factor analysis or your money back: an introduction to data reduction. RECP, 5, 185–211, 2014.

Theses and dissertations

  1. Silva, A. H. Mission: Unforeseen — Governance, State Capacities and Municipal Performance in Disaster Risk Management in Brazil. Ph.D. dissertation (Political Science) — UFPE, 2025. Advisor: Dalson Britto Figueiredo Filho. Recommended for award by the committee. RI/UFPE ↗
  2. Silva, A. H. Natural disasters, federal emergency resources and municipal elections in Brazil (2012): evidence from a case study. M.A. thesis (Political Science) — UFPE, 2021. Advisor: Gabriela da Silva Tarouco. Co-advisor: Davi Cordeiro Moreira. RI/UFPE ↗
  3. Silva, A. H. 'January waters are worth money!' The effect of political alignment on Federal Emergency Transfers in Brazil (2009–2015). B.A. monograph (Political Science) — UFPE, 2018. Advisor: Mariana Batista da Silva.

Complete and up-to-date list: CV in PDF · Lattes · ORCID.

Replication materials: datasets and code from my articles and projects, hosted on the Open Science Framework (OSF) and on GitHub. Committed to reproducible research since my Research Transparency and Reproducibility training (UC Berkeley, 2024).

Repositories

OSF profile

Central hub for all replication projects and pre-registrations. osf.io/ysj2q ↗

GitHub

Analysis code, R packages (including acR, with its own site and available on CRAN), and teaching materials. github.com/andersonheri ↗

Materials by publication

Under construction: datasets and scripts linked to each article are released on OSF as projects progress. If you need a specific material not yet listed, please email me.

2025 – present

Postdoctoral Fellow, CEM/USP

FAPESP grant (proc. 2025/15250-0). Supervised by Ursula Peres (EACH/USP).

2024 – present

IPEA, Brasília

Invited researcher (2025–) and research assistant (2024–2025) in the intergovernmental transfers project (PNPD).

2023 – 2025

Collaborating Professor, UNIVASF

Professional Master in Sociology in National Network (ProfSocio). Research Methodology and MEDIALIT courses.

2022 – 2024

Substitute Professor, UNIVASF

Social Sciences, Juazeiro/BA. Methods, public policy, political theory and sociology (also for engineering programs).

2021 – 2025

Ph.D. in Political Science, UFPE

FACEPE fellowship. Advised by Dalson Britto Figueiredo Filho. Dissertation recommended for award by the committee.

2019 – 2021

M.A. in Political Science, UFPE

FACEPE fellowship. Advised by Gabriela da Silva Tarouco; co-advised by Davi Cordeiro Moreira. Thesis on natural disasters, federal emergency resources and municipal elections.

2019

Survey Data Analysis, University of Essex

200-hour course at the Essex Summer School / Global South Academic Network (fellowship).

2016

Exchange at the University of Coimbra

International Relations. Under Carmen Amado Mendes. Santander Ibero-American scholarship.

2014 – 2018

B.A. in Political Science, UFPE

CNPq undergraduate fellowship (PIBIC, 2014–2017). Advised by Mariana Batista da Silva. PET/MEC scholar (2014–2015). Teaching monitor for Quantitative Methods and Political Theory.

Open teaching materials

📘 Social Scientist's Survival Manual for AI

A pocket guide for responsible use of generative AI in research: glossary, criteria for when to use (or avoid) each tool, ~29 ready-to-use prompt templates, an AI usage declaration model for manuscripts, and a decision log to document the process. Download the manual ↗

Workshop: Introduction to Generative AI in the Social Sciences

A two-day, beginner-level, platform-independent workshop I taught at CEM/USP: essential vocabulary, epistemological limits, and 7 guided exercises for responsible use in research, teaching and academic writing. Full repository ↗

Graduate, ProfSocio/UNIVASF

Research Methodology MEDIALIT: Digital Media Literacy

Undergraduate, UNIVASF (Social Sciences and Engineering)

Quantitative Methods Qualitative and Quantitative Methods Public Policy Political Theory I & III Federalism and Local Power Introduction to Scientific Work Sociology (Civil, Production, Mechanical Eng.) Sociological Foundations of Psychology Foundations of Anthropology and Sociology

Teaching assistantships, UFPE

Public Policy I Research Seminar Political Institutions I Anthropology Quantitative Methods I Political Theory I
Email
andersonheri@gmail.com
ORCID
0000-0002-1842-2725
Lattes
7628365040600511
Google Scholar
scholar.google.com/…YGNu2fsAAAAJ
OSF
osf.io/ysj2q
GitHub
github.com/andersonheri
Address
Center for the Study of the Metropolis (CEM/USP) · São Paulo, SP
CV
Download CV in PDF · versão em português